An efficient approach for removing look-ahead bias in the least square Monte Carlo algorithm: Leave-one-out

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An efficient approach for removing look-ahead bias in the least square Monte Carlo algorithm: Leave-one-out

수리과학부 0 2795
구분 금융수학 세미나
일정 2018-11-28(수) 17:00~18:30
세미나실 27동 325호
강연자 최재혁 (Peking University, HSBC Business School)
담당교수 박형빈
기타
The least square Monte Carlo (LSM) algorithm proposed by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) is the most widely used method for pricing options with early exercise features. The LSM estimator contains look-ahead bias, and the conventional technique of removing it necessitates an independent set of simulations. This study proposes a new approach for effciently eliminating look-ahead bias by using the leave-one-out method, a well-known cross-validation technique for machine learning applications. The leave-one-out LSM (LOOLSM) method is illustrated with examples, including multi-asset options whose LSM price is biased high. The asymptotic behavior of look-ahead bias is also discussed with the LOOLSM approach.

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